Computing $\rho(X^{\mathrm{al}})$

Theorem (Charles)

$$\rho(X_p^{\mathrm{al}})\geq\begin{cases}\rho(X^{\mathrm{al}})&\text{if }E\text{ is CM or }m\text{ is even,}\\\rho(X^{\mathrm{al}})+d&\text{if }E\text{ is totally real and }m\text{ is odd,}\end{cases}$$

Equality occurs infinitely often (density $1$ after some finite extension).

If $E$ is totally real and $m$ is odd, infinitely many good ordinary prime pairs $(p,q)$ satisfy $\rho(X_p^{\mathrm{al}})=\rho(X_q^{\mathrm{al}})=\rho(X^{\mathrm{al}})+d$ and

$$\operatorname{disc}\operatorname{Pic}(X_p^{\mathrm{al}})\not\equiv\operatorname{disc}\operatorname{Pic}(X_q^{\mathrm{al}})\bmod(\Bbb{Q}^{\times})^2$$

Corollary (Charles)

The Kloosterman—van Luijk method works, if it is aware of $E$.